The Premier League season shows no signs of becoming predictable as we enter the final phase of the campaign.
Manchester City have regained top spot with a win over Cardiff City, Tottenham have finally returned home and got back to winning way, but Wolverhampton Wanderers were able to pull off another top six shock as they beat Manchester United in midweek.
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Manchester City stars celebrate
Fulham and Huddersfield might be relegated but everything is still to play for and it’s setting up for an intense finale.
Most clubs have six matches to go after several games in hand were played this week and we’re still none the wiser about how the final standing will end.
But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by ‘Expected Goals’?
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Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats.
Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
What is expected goals?
- Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
- Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
- The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
- The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20
Games played – 32
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 25.78
19. Fulham – Real position = 19
Games played – 33
Real points = 17 | Expected points = 29.29
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Fulham will spend next season in the Championship
18. Cardiff City – Real position = 18
Games played – 32
Real points = 28Â | Expected points = 30.88
17. Newcastle United – Real position = 14
Games played – 32
Real points = 35 | Expected points = 30.90
16. Brighton & Hove Albion – Real position = 15
Games played – 31
Real points = 33 | Expected points = 31.00
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Brighton striker Florin Andone celebrates a match-winning goal
15. West Ham – Real position = 11
Games played – 32
Real points = 42 | Expected points = 35.21
14. Southampton – Real position = 16
Games played – 31
Real points = 33 | Expected points = 35.26
13. Burnley – Real position = 17
Games played – 32
Real points = 33 | Expected points = 35.76
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Burnley star Chris Wood celebrates.
12. Bournemouth – Real position = 12
Games played – 32
Real points = 38 | Expected points = 41.41
11. Watford – Real position = 8
Games played – 32
Real points = 46 | Expected points = 41.97
10. Everton – Real position = 10
Games played – 32
Real points = 43 | Expected points = 42.25
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Everton players celebrate with Gylfi Sigurdsson.
9. Crystal Palace – Real position = 13
Games played – 32
Real points = 36 | Expected points = 44.26
8. Leicester – Real position = 9
Games played – 32
Real points = 44 | Expected points = 47.29
7. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 7
Games played – 32
Real points = 47 | Expected points = 49.84
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Diogo Jota scored Wolves’ opener against Man United
6. Arsenal – Real position = 4
Games played – 31
Real points = 63 | Expected points = 50.67
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Aaron Ramsey scored and captained Arsenal to a 2-0 win over Newcastle on Monday
5. Manchester United – Real position = 6
Games played – 32
Real points = 61 | Expected points = 53.34
Getty
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It was a dreadful night for Man United and Solskjaer at the Molineux on Tuesday
4. Tottenham – Real position = 3
Games played – 32
Real points = 64 | Expected points = 53.35
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Tottenham Hotspur players celebrate
3. Chelsea – Real position = 5
Games played – 32
Real points = 63 | Expected points = 59.76
getty
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Chelsea starlet Callum Hudson-Odoi
2. Liverpool – Real position = 2
Games played – 32
Real points = 79 | Expected points = 70.60
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Liverpool beat Spurs 2-1 last weekend
1. Manchester City – Real position = 1
Games played – 32
Real points = 80 | Expected points = 77.25
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Will Manchester City be celebrating at the end of the season?
Alternative Premier League table after 33 games, based on expected goals This is how stats experts think the Premier League table SHOULD look as we enter the final five, or so, games By Anton Stanley
Alternative Premier League table after 26 games, based on
Manchester City kept the pressure on Premier League leaders Liverpool by beating West Ham 1-0 at the Etihad Stadium. The midweek matches also saw Chelsea, who dropped Kepa Arrizabalaga following his antics during the Carabao Cup final, beat Tottenham, while Arsenal and Manchester United claimed victories.
Meanwhile, at the other end of the table, Brighton & Hove Albion kept their survival hopes up by drawing 0-0 with Wolverhampton Wanderers, who lost ground to Everton in the race for seventh spot. Some results were deserved, others less so. But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'?
Alternative Premier League table after 25 games, based on
sportsalert.org/2019/02/05/alternative-premier-league-table-after-25-games-based-on-expected-goals/
Alternative Premier League table after 25 games, based on expected goals. Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a
Alternative Premier League table after 28 games, based on
REVEALED This is how stats experts think the Premier League table SHOULD look with ten games left of the season Manchester City kept the pressure on Premier League leaders Liverpool by beating West Ham 1-0 at the Etihad Stadium.
Alternative Premier League table after 35 games, based on
Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
Alternative Premier League table after 34 games, based on
Alternative Premier League table after 34 games, based on expected goals This is how stats experts think the Premier League table SHOULD look as we enter the final four, or so, games By Anton Stanley
Alternative Premier League table after 35 games, based on
hollywoodadviser.com/alternative-premier-league-table-after-35-games-based-on-expected-goals/
But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
Alternative Premier League table after 21 games, based on
Alternative Premier League table after 33 games, based on
Alternative Premier League table after 28 games, based on expected goals Written by: fpnews Posted on: March 1, 2019 Manchester City kept the pressure on Premier League leaders Liverpool by beating West Ham 1-0 at the Etihad Stadium.
Alternative Premier League table after 28 games, based on
Alternative Premier League table after 21 games, based on expected goals Posted on March 1, 2019 Another round of Premier League results are in the books and the fight for the title has taken another turn.
Alternative Premier League table after 28 games, based on
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